Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.760009e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079 0.000090
2025-02-02 3.098748e-05 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076 0.000092 0.000112
2025-02-09 2.549620e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102 0.000128
2025-02-16 2.358545e-05 0.000035 0.000049 0.000067 0.000090 0.000117 0.000152
2025-02-23 2.042698e-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000068 0.000094 0.000126 0.000168
2025-03-02 1.620955e-05 0.000027 0.000042 0.000064 0.000092 0.000127 0.000174
2025-03-09 1.327821e-05 0.000024 0.000039 0.000061 0.000091 0.000130 0.000181
2025-03-16 1.108160e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000060 0.000092 0.000133 0.000190
2025-03-23 9.451552e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000059 0.000093 0.000138 0.000201
2025-03-30 7.938215e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000057 0.000093 0.000141 0.000209
2025-04-06 6.462496e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000055 0.000092 0.000142 0.000215
2025-04-13 4.970047e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000051 0.000088 0.000140 0.000215
2025-04-20 3.805159e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000089 0.000144 0.000226
2025-04-27 3.370925e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052 0.000095 0.000157 0.000249
2025-05-04 2.754957e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000052 0.000098 0.000165 0.000266
2025-05-11 2.661019e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000107 0.000182 0.000297
2025-05-18 2.222528e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000110 0.000192 0.000316
2025-05-25 1.547948e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000053 0.000107 0.000191 0.000321
2025-06-01 1.116025e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000051 0.000106 0.000193 0.000330
2025-06-08 8.163859e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000050 0.000106 0.000196 0.000340
2025-06-15 6.118384e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000049 0.000107 0.000201 0.000354
2025-06-22 4.356181e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000107 0.000205 0.000365
2025-06-29 2.824399e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000106 0.000206 0.000372